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DTC brands

Platform ROAS doesn't match Shopify. Reconcile every dollar.

AI agents that learn your unit economics. True incrementality reconciled to the P&L. Forecasts that sharpen across every replenishment cycle.

Reconciliation runs monthly
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Meta$0K
Google$0K
TikTok$0K
Total claimed$0K
Shopify
Live
$0K
Shopify actual revenue
$830K total claimed by platforms$500K real (Shopify)
$500K
$330K

$330K of attributed revenue is overlap. Parker reconciles this against Shopify monthly. Numbers illustrative; exact gap depends on channel mix.

Where dashboards break for DTC

Revenue up. Margins down. Scaling on broken data.

Platforms inflate their own numbers and dashboards repeat them. These four failure modes are why scaling DTC budgets faster than they should rarely produces sustainable margin.

Scaling kills your margins

Spend doubles, ROAS drops 40 percent. Without marginal-return curves, every scaling decision is a coin flip and every retreat costs another week.

Platform ROAS doesn't match Shopify

Meta says four hundred thousand. Google says two-fifty. Shopify shows five hundred total. Someone is double-counting.

Seasonal patterns caught too late

By the time the Q4 ramp shows up in the dashboard, the competition has already won the auction. Last year's spreadsheet doesn't capture this year's curve.

CAC rising, LTV unknown

Acquisition cost climbs every quarter. Without per-channel LTV, the team can't tell which customers are profitable across cohorts.

The four agents

Reconcile every dollar. Compound the truth.

Parker debiases attribution against Shopify. Dana unifies the data layer. Felix forecasts revenue against the calendar. Sam tests scaling moves before money commits.

Attribution Analyst

Parker

Reconciles platform-reported ROAS against Shopify orders. Surfaces non-incremental spend that platforms claim but Shopify didn't see. Architecture target: identify and reallocate the spend that doesn't make it to the P&L.

Debiased ROAS, reconciled to Shopify.

Analytics Engineer

Dana

Builds the unified data layer across Shopify, Meta, Google, TikTok, GA4, Klaviyo. Reconciles spend, revenue, and conversions every night. Architecture target: one source of truth that the rest of the agents reads from.

One source of truth, Shopify-aligned.

Performance Forecaster

Felix

Forecasts revenue, AOV, and ROAS by channel. Learns the Q4 ramp, the post-Black-Friday slump, and your specific replenishment cycles. Every prediction is scored against actuals once its period closes, and the miss trains the next forecast.

Forecasts that learn your seasonality.

Media Planner

Sam

Models budget shifts and scaling moves before money commits. Hard CAC and margin caps as constraints. Architecture target: scaling decisions arrive with confidence intervals, not gut calls.

Scale before you commit.

The other agents fill out the agents. See all of them →.

How Parker reconciles

Reported ROAS in. True incremental ROAS out.

Stage 1

4.2x

Meta-reported ROAS

Stage 2

2.4x

Platform-debiased

platform self-claim removed−43%

Stage 3

2.1x

Incremental

holdout calibration−13%

Stage 4

1.8x

True ROAS

reconciled to Shopify−14%

Numbers illustrative of the reconciliation steps Parker performs. Exact deltas depend on channel mix, holdout design, and Shopify order data.

Targeted by the 7-day pilot

Concrete deltas. Architecture targets for DTC.

Four metrics targeted by the 7-day pilot structure. Exact numbers depend on channel mix, AOV, and current attribution stack.

Platform ROAS reconciliation
Self-attribution→P&L-reconciled

Architecture target: Parker reconciles platform-claimed revenue against Shopify orders every night. Exact gap depends on channel mix and overlap.

Forecast accuracy
Predictions not written down→Every prediction scored against actuals

Each forecast is recorded before the period it covers, then compared with what actually happened. A miss is analyzed for cause and fed back into the model.

Decision speed
3-5 days→30 min

Architecture target: Sam runs the scaling scenario in seconds. The output is a confidence interval, not a meeting.

Setup time
Weeks→5 minutes

Architecture target: OAuth-based connection to Shopify, Meta, Google, TikTok. First insights inside 48 hours.

Common questions

Questions DTC teams ask

How does Cresva help DTC brands scale profitably?

The agents learn your unit economics and reconcile attribution against Shopify. Test budget scenarios before money commits, get debiased ROAS, and forecast revenue against your specific calendar.

Does Cresva integrate with Shopify?

Yes. Connects in five minutes via OAuth. Pulls order data, revenue, AOV, and customer cohorts. Combined with Meta, Google, TikTok for a unified DTC view.

What makes Cresva different from Triple Whale or Northbeam?

Cresva is agents: attribution plus forecasting plus scenario testing plus institutional memory plus reporting. Specialized agents share one memory. Sourced comparisons against both, including where they win, are at [/compare](/compare).

Can it find true incremental ROAS?

Parker reconciles platform-claimed revenue against Shopify and against holdouts. Architecture target: surface the share of platform-reported spend that didn't make it to the P&L.

How fast can we start?

Five minutes via OAuth: Shopify, Meta, Google, TikTok. First insights inside 48 hours. Full compounding effect rolls in across the 7-day pilot structure.

Other solutions

DTC not the right fit?

Ready when you are

See the agents on your Shopify data.

Pilot connects Shopify, Meta, Google, TikTok in five minutes. First reconciled view inside 48 hours.

Looking for a deep dive? See Parker debiases →, Felix forecasts → or AI commerce surface →.

Shubham Raghav, founder of Cresva

Cresva is built by Shubham Raghav, who ran growth at DTC brands and agencies before starting it, and built the dashboards this replaces.

About Cresva →